Can the post-doc shortage get even worse?
Posted by J Guillermo Sanchez, on 18 March 2024
The road of academia is a pretty established ladder, PhD, then postdoc, then faculty. I am approaching the end of my PhD and the opportunities seemed endless. At least, when considering the current situation. There seems to be phenomenon that is now common in every scientific conference in the last couple years: many principal investigators coincidently appear to be looking for postdocs. Part of the reason could be due to recent reports have noted noting a 10% decrease in postdocs supported by NIH grants from 2020 to 2022, additionally, each of those years saw a 4% average decrease in postdocs across the science and health fields [1]. There are many reasons to blame for the decline in the interest of pursuing an academic postdoc, the main one being the cost of living surge in every state across the country. By April of last year, the prices of the essential needs had increased by 13% since 2021 while the NIH recommended minimum wage only increased a 4% in the same time frame [2,3]. For many, an academic postdoc is no longer financially viable and the biotech industry has not wasted the opportunity to keep up with their increasing demand which is projected to expand by an additional 15% by 2030 [4].
All these recent changes should point to an open post-doc market for someone looking to stay in academia. However, there is an additional demographic, that I happen to be part of, which makes up for over half of the postdocs in the United States who do not have the flexibility to shift to an industry position, which in many cases is a shorter term, riskier decision. Over a third of science and engineering doctorate degrees awarded in the US are to foreign nationals [5]. With another presidential election on the horizon, there is a potential risk to the 30,000 plus international postdoc visas that would need eventual renewing or to be newly awarded. The previous presidential administration cut down the number of green cards awarded by 18% across the board, and continued cuts is which is among the promises for the upcoming elections [6]. This limits academic institutions through increase in legal and processing fees, making international hires no longer viable. For those with the American dream willing to take a postdoc salary, the roadblocks might just get worse. Not only, the salaries will keep falling behind those offered in industry, but academic institutions may become more limited in the amount of help they can offer a postdoc in the efforts of finding a more stable migration status. As someone approaching the transition stage into a post PhD life, my options are were severely limited by the number of institutions that had their hands tied in terms of what they could offer, and with the elections just around the corner, stability is a privilege that is hard to come by.
It should be normal to have these discussions, I hope many are open to connect and try to point each other to possible opportunities and share what we are thinking for our next steps. Are you close to finishing your PhD? What are your options?
1- Gewin V. 2023, Postdoctoral researchers warn NIH that cost of living are gutting the workforce. Nature Career News https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-02202-7#:~:text=The%20number%20of%20postdocs%20supported,respectively%2C%20between%202020%20and%202021.
2- Winters, M. and Cortes G. 2023. These 5 charts show how much 2 years of inflation have really cost you. CNBC Spend https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/14/charts-how-much-inflation-increased-since-2021.html
3- 2022. Postdoc Salary in the US. PostdocInUSA https://postdocinusa.com/postdoc-salary-usa/
4- Ameco Research. 2023. Biotechnology Market is Anticipated to Reach USD 1,334 billion by 2030, Growing at a substantial CAGR of 15.5% from 2022 to 2030. LinkedIn Open Immersive Reader https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/biotechnology-market-anticipated-reach-usd-1334-billion/
5- National Science Board: Science & Engineering Indicators. 2020. Foreign-born students and workers in the US science and engineering enterprise. NSF https://www.nsf.gov/nsb/sei/one-pagers/Foreign-Born.pdf
6- Nowrasteh, A. 2021. President Trump reduced legal immigration. He did not reduce illegal immigration. Cato Institute https://www.cato.org/blog/president-trump-reduced-legal-immigration-he-did-not-reduce-illegal-immigration
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All these recent changes should point to an open post-doc market for someone looking to stay in academia. However, there is an additional demographic, that I happen to be part of, which makes up for over half of the postdocs in the United States who do not have the flexibility to shift to an industry position, which in many cases is a shorter term, riskier decision. Over a third of science and engineering doctorate degrees awarded in the US are to foreign nationals [5]. With another presidential election on the horizon, there is a potential risk to the 30,000 plus international postdoc visas that would need eventual renewing or to be newly awarded. The previous presidential administration cut down the number of green cards awarded by 18% across the board, and continued cuts is which is among the promises for the upcoming elections [6]. This limits academic institutions through increase in legal and processing fees, making international hires no longer viable. For those with the American dream willing to take a postdoc salary, the roadblocks might just get worse. Not only, the salaries will keep falling behind those offered in industry, but academic institutions may become more limited in the amount of help they can offer a postdoc in the efforts of finding a more stable migration status. As someone approaching the transition stage into a post PhD life, my options are were severely limited by the number of institutions that had their hands tied in terms of what they could offer, and with the elections just around the corner, stability is a privilege that is hard to come by.
It should be normal to have these discussions, I hope many are open to connect and try to point each other to possible opportunities and share what we are thinking for our next steps. Are you close to finishing your PhD? What are your options?
1- Gewin V. 2023, Postdoctoral researchers warn NIH that cost of living are gutting the workforce. Nature Career News https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-02202-7#:~:text=The%20number%20of%20postdocs%20supported,respectively%2C%20between%202020%20and%202021.
2- Winters, M. and Cortes G. 2023. These 5 charts show how much 2 years of inflation have really cost you. CNBC Spend https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/14/charts-how-much-inflation-increased-since-2021.html
3- 2022. Postdoc Salary in the US. PostdocInUSA https://postdocinusa.com/postdoc-salary-usa/
4- Ameco Research. 2023. Biotechnology Market is Anticipated to Reach USD 1,334 billion by 2030, Growing at a substantial CAGR of 15.5% from 2022 to 2030. LinkedIn Open Immersive Reader https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/biotechnology-market-anticipated-reach-usd-1334-billion/
5- National Science Board: Science & Engineering Indicators. 2020. Foreign-born students and workers in the US science and engineering enterprise. NSF https://www.nsf.gov/nsb/sei/one-pagers/Foreign-Born.pdf
6- Nowrasteh, A. 2021. President Trump reduced legal immigration. He did not reduce illegal immigration. Cato Institute https://www.cato.org/blog/president-trump-reduced-legal-immigration-he-did-not-reduce-illegal-immigration
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