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Nobel Predictions

Posted by , on 23 September 2010

Thomson Reuters has predicted who they think will walk away with the Nobel Prizes in medicine, chemistry, physics, and economics. Their predictions for the prize for Physiology or Medicine include six names in four areas:
– Douglas Coleman and Jeffrey Friedman, for the discovery of leptin
– Ernest McCulloch and James Till, for the discovery of stem cells
– Ralph Steinman, for the discovery of dendritic cells
– Shinya Yamanaka, for the development of induced pluripotent stem cells

What do you think? Are any of these scientists going to be on the podium in Stockholm in a few months, or someone else?

I asked on Twitter, where Dean Griffiths guesses the prize will go to Shinya Yamanaka and John Gurdon, but is rooting for Till and McCulloch. Marios Stavridis thinks it’s too soon yet for Yamanaka, but that Till and McCulloch are long overdue a win.

Here’s my own guess: I think I agree with Marios that it’s too early for a win for Shinya Yamanaka. He’ll get it eventually, but probably not yet this year. And like Dean I’m also rooting for Till and McCulloch (I did my PhD in Toronto, so they’re “the home team” for me) but I also think Coleman and Friedman have a good chance. I watched the video for their Lasker Award (see previous post on the Node) and the whole story just screams “Nobel Prize” to me.

We’ll know soon enough, because the winners will be announced on October 4.

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